Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.375654 0.436998 0.504781 0.585177 0.677880 0.781370 0.905624
2025-03-30 0.265343 0.344993 0.442681 0.571049 0.735045 0.937293 1.205429
2025-04-06 0.203437 0.286636 0.396632 0.552172 0.765904 1.048700 1.450691
2025-04-13 0.162840 0.245141 0.360867 0.534628 0.787989 1.142878 1.676540
2025-04-20 0.139607 0.222546 0.345534 0.539969 0.838238 1.276823 1.968635
2025-04-27 0.127191 0.213308 0.347154 0.568596 0.923792 1.468777 2.365069
2025-05-04 0.114625 0.201452 0.342371 0.585457 0.991624 1.639484 2.746253
2025-05-11 0.102204 0.187687 0.332162 0.591289 1.041035 1.784729 3.100747
2025-05-18 0.090394 0.173052 0.318203 0.588292 1.074128 1.905116 3.424881
2025-05-25 0.079702 0.158762 0.302750 0.580202 1.096487 2.008229 3.728363
2025-06-01 0.071141 0.147163 0.290497 0.575985 1.124516 2.122838 4.062283
2025-06-08 0.062004 0.133092 0.271733 0.556933 1.122253 2.181666 4.299006
2025-06-15 0.060083 0.133517 0.281338 0.594736 1.234256 2.465768 4.992770
2025-06-22 0.052787 0.121683 0.265087 0.578941 1.239257 2.547643 5.307526
2025-06-29 0.046185 0.110345 0.248311 0.559743 1.234673 2.609495 5.587933
2025-07-06 0.040593 0.100414 0.233175 0.541962 1.230587 2.671167 5.873214
2025-07-13 0.037464 0.095730 0.228899 0.547374 1.276717 2.840586 6.400183
2025-07-20 0.036293 0.095568 0.234782 0.576380 1.378074 3.136556 7.227427
2025-07-27 0.034394 0.093321 0.235518 0.593464 1.454176 3.385034 7.974895
2025-08-03 0.031983 0.089412 0.231781 0.599372 1.504834 3.581811 8.625515
2025-08-10 0.029319 0.084434 0.224770 0.596336 1.533655 3.731479 9.182127
2025-08-17 0.026665 0.079083 0.216135 0.588140 1.548886 3.850948 9.679530
2025-08-24 0.024468 0.074674 0.209361 0.583867 1.573337 3.994357 10.247860